Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Norwich to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorwich to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceNorwich or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.06
Norwich vs Portsmouth preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Norwich take on Portsmouth on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Carrow Road. Norwich are 12th with 21 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Portsmouth sit 11th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Norwich's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Southampton 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Portsmouth's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Derby 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Norwich arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Norwich and 0.8 for Portsmouth. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 49%.
Value angle: Norwich to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Norwich or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Norwich 1–0 Portsmouth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Norwich57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.30
Portsmouth18%fair 5.51 · @3.70
2.45Expected goals
1.64Norwich xG
0.81Portsmouth xG
49%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Norwich 1.6 – 0.8 Portsmouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Norwich to win✗
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Norwich or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Norwich / FT Norwich✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.06
–
Form
Norwich – last 6
LWLWWL
18 Mar
@ Southampton
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Sheffield Utd
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Leeds
0–3
L
28 Feb
@ Leicester
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Sheffield Wednesday
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Birmingham
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Portsmouth – last 6
LLDLLW
16 Mar
vs Derby
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs Swansea
1–2
L
7 Mar
@ Blackburn
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Hull City
0–1
L
24 Feb
@ Wrexham
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Millwall
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Norwich and Portsmouth.
Our pick is Norwich or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Norwich vs Portsmouth?
On our numbers Norwich have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portsmouth 18%.
How many goals will there be in Norwich vs Portsmouth?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Norwich vs Portsmouth?
Our predicted score is Norwich 1–0 Portsmouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Norwich vs Portsmouth?
Norwich vs Portsmouth (Championship) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Carrow Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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