Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Leicester to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeicester to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceLeicester or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.74
Leicester vs Preston preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Leicester take on Preston on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at King Power Stadium.
Form guide
Leicester's last 4: WLDD Most recently they beat Bristol City 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Preston's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Stoke City 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Leicester and 0.8 for Preston. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Leicester to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Leicester or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leicester 1–0 Preston. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leicester59%fair 1.70 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.30
Preston16%fair 6.32 · @3.90
2.63Expected goals
1.79Leicester xG
0.84Preston xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Leicester 1.8 – 0.8 Preston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leicester to win✗
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Leicester or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Leicester ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leicester / FT Leicester✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.74
–
Form
Leicester – last 4
WLDD
10 Mar
vs Bristol City
2–0
W
28 Feb
vs Norwich
0–2
L
24 Feb
@ Middlesbrough
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Stoke City
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Preston – last 5
WLLDL
20 Mar
vs Stoke City
3–1
W
11 Mar
@ Coventry
0–3
L
6 Mar
vs Oxford United
1–3
L
24 Feb
@ Swansea
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Blackburn
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leicester and Preston.
Our pick is Leicester or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Leicester vs Preston?
On our numbers Leicester have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Preston 16%.
How many goals will there be in Leicester vs Preston?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leicester vs Preston?
Our predicted score is Leicester 1–0 Preston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Leicester vs Preston?
Leicester vs Preston (Championship) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at King Power Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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