Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Birmingham to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBirmingham to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceBirmingham or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.33
Birmingham vs Blackburn preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham host Blackburn in the Championship on Friday 3 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park. Birmingham are 1st with 29 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Blackburn sit 13th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Birmingham's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat QPR 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Blackburn's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Oxford United 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Birmingham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Birmingham and 0.7 for Blackburn. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Birmingham to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Birmingham or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Birmingham 1–0 Blackburn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birmingham60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.30
Blackburn16%fair 6.09 · @4.20
2.33Expected goals
1.62Birmingham xG
0.71Blackburn xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Birmingham 1.6 – 0.7 Blackburn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birmingham to win✗
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Birmingham or draw✗
84%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Birmingham / FT Birmingham✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.33
–
Form
Birmingham – last 4
WLLW
11 Mar
vs QPR
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Middlesbrough
1–3
L
25 Feb
@ Millwall
0–3
L
21 Feb
@ Norwich
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Blackburn – last 5
LDLLW
11 Mar
@ Oxford United
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Portsmouth
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Derby
1–3
L
24 Feb
vs Bristol City
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Preston
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birmingham and Blackburn.
What is the prediction for Birmingham vs Blackburn?
Our pick is Birmingham or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Birmingham vs Blackburn?
On our numbers Birmingham have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Blackburn 16%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham vs Blackburn?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham vs Blackburn?
Our predicted score is Birmingham 1–0 Blackburn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Birmingham vs Blackburn?
Birmingham vs Blackburn (Championship) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leicester2
Oxford United1
Hull City1
Sheffield Wednesday0