Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouthampton to win ✓58% · @1.73
Double chanceSouthampton or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Southampton vs QPR preview and prediction
The match
QPR travel to St. Mary's Stadium in the Championship on Tuesday 24 February (21:00 WAT) to face Southampton. Southampton are 7th with 24 points from 15 games (in the top half), while QPR sit 8th on 24 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Southampton and 1.0 for QPR. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Southampton 58%, draw 25%, QPR 17%.
Safer route: Southampton or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Southampton or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Southampton 1–0 QPR. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Southampton58%fair 1.72 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.70
QPR17%fair 5.83 · @4.45
2.83Expected goals
1.84Southampton xG
0.99QPR xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Southampton 1.8 – 1.0 QPR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southampton to win✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Double chance
Southampton or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Half-time result
Southampton ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southampton / FT Southampton✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Southampton – last 1
D
21 Feb
vs Charlton
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
QPR – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ Hull City
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southampton and QPR.
Our pick is Southampton or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Southampton vs QPR?
On our numbers Southampton have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and QPR 17%.
How many goals will there be in Southampton vs QPR?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southampton vs QPR?
Our predicted score is Southampton 1–0 QPR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Southampton vs QPR?
Southampton vs QPR (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at St. Mary's Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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