Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSwansea to win ✗59% · @1.75
Double chanceSwansea or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Swansea vs Preston preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Swansea take on Preston on Tuesday 24 February, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Swansea.com Stadium. Swansea are 6th with 26 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Preston sit 24th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Swansea and 0.8 for Preston. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Swansea 59%, draw 21%, Preston 20%.
Safer route: Swansea or draw (80%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Swansea 1–0 Preston. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Swansea59%fair 1.69 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.55
Preston20%fair 5.07 · @4.60
2.64Expected goals
1.79Swansea xG
0.85Preston xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Swansea 1.8 – 0.8 Preston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swansea to win✗
59%
1.69
1.75
Double chance
Swansea or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
Swansea ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swansea / FT Swansea✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Form
Swansea – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Bristol City
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Preston – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Blackburn
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swansea and Preston.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Swansea vs Preston?
On our numbers Swansea have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Preston 20%.
How many goals will there be in Swansea vs Preston?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Preston?
Our predicted score is Swansea 1–0 Preston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Swansea vs Preston?
Swansea vs Preston (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Swansea.com Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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