Value bet: Portsmouth to win @ 3.75 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWrexham to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.52
Wrexham vs Portsmouth preview and prediction
The match
Portsmouth travel to SToK Cae Ras in the Championship on Tuesday 24 February (20:45 WAT) to face Wrexham. Wrexham are 15th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Portsmouth sit 11th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Wrexham's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Ipswich 5–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Wrexham and 1.1 for Portsmouth. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Portsmouth to win at 3.75 – 30% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Wrexham 1–1 Portsmouth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wrexham45%fair 2.24 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.25
Portsmouth30%fair 3.38 · @3.75
2.42Expected goals
1.35Wrexham xG
1.07Portsmouth xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Wrexham 1.4 – 1.1 Portsmouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wrexham to win✓
45%
2.24
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wrexham / FT Wrexham✓
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.52
–
Form
Wrexham – last 3
WDW
21 Feb
vs Ipswich
5–3
W
17 Feb
@ Bristol City
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Ipswich
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Portsmouth – last 2
WW
21 Feb
@ Millwall
3–1
W
17 Feb
@ Charlton
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wrexham and Portsmouth.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Wrexham vs Portsmouth?
On our numbers Wrexham have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Portsmouth 30%.
How many goals will there be in Wrexham vs Portsmouth?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Portsmouth?
Our predicted score is Wrexham 1–1 Portsmouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Wrexham vs Portsmouth?
Wrexham vs Portsmouth (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at SToK Cae Ras.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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