Raith Rovers vs Ross County preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Raith Rovers take on Ross County on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stark's Park.
Form guide
Raith Rovers's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to ST Johnstone 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ross County's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Queen's Park 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Raith Rovers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Raith Rovers and 1.2 for Ross County. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Raith Rovers 41%, draw 24%, Ross County 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Raith Rovers 1–1 Ross County. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raith Rovers41%fair 2.44 · @2.36
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Ross County35%fair 2.84 · @2.76
2.50Expected goals
1.31Raith Rovers xG
1.19Ross County xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Raith Rovers 1.3 – 1.2 Ross County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raith Rovers to win✓
41%
2.44
2.36
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.27
–
Form
Raith Rovers – last 6
LWWWLD
24 Apr
@ ST Johnstone
0–2
L
14 Apr
@ Queen's Park
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Inverness CT
4–1
W
27 Mar
vs Ayr Utd
3–0
W
24 Mar
vs Partick
0–2
L
20 Feb
vs ST Johnstone
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ross County – last 4
LLLD
10 Apr
@ Queen's Park
0–1
L
27 Mar
@ Partick
1–3
L
3 Mar
@ Dunfermline
0–3
L
21 Feb
@ Ayr Utd
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raith Rovers and Ross County.
What is the prediction for Raith Rovers vs Ross County?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Ross County?
On our numbers Raith Rovers have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ross County 35%.
How many goals will there be in Raith Rovers vs Ross County?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raith Rovers vs Ross County?
Our predicted score is Raith Rovers 1–1 Ross County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Raith Rovers vs Ross County?
Raith Rovers vs Ross County (Championship) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stark's Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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