Arbroath travel to East End Park in the Championship on Friday 1 May (19:45 WAT) to face Dunfermline. Dunfermline are 3rd with 25 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Arbroath sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Dunfermline's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to ST Johnstone 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Arbroath's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Morton 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Arbroath 4–2 Dunfermline.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Dunfermline and 1.1 for Arbroath. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Dunfermline 1–1 Arbroath. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dunfermline45%fair 2.22 · @2.18
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Arbroath33%fair 3.07 · @3.20
2.47Expected goals
1.37Dunfermline xG
1.11Arbroath xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Dunfermline 1.4 – 1.1 Arbroath expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dunfermline vs Arbroath?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Dunfermline vs Arbroath?
On our numbers Dunfermline have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arbroath 33%.
How many goals will there be in Dunfermline vs Arbroath?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dunfermline vs Arbroath?
Our predicted score is Dunfermline 1–1 Arbroath, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Dunfermline vs Arbroath?
Dunfermline vs Arbroath (Championship) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at East End Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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