ST Johnstone travel to Somerset Park in the Championship on Friday 1 May (19:45 WAT) to face Ayr Utd.
Form guide
Ayr Utd's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Dunfermline 0–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
ST Johnstone's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Raith Rovers 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ST Johnstone arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Ayr Utd and 1.7 for ST Johnstone. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ayr Utd 20%, draw 21%, ST Johnstone 59%.
Safer route: ST Johnstone or draw (80%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ayr Utd 1–1 ST Johnstone. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ayr Utd20%fair 5.08 · @4.40
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.60
ST Johnstone59%fair 1.70 · @1.71
2.63Expected goals
0.88Ayr Utd xG
1.75ST Johnstone xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
From our goals model: Ayr Utd 0.9 – 1.7 ST Johnstone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ST Johnstone to win✓
59%
1.70
1.71
Double chance
ST Johnstone or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ST Johnstone / FT ST Johnstone✓
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.93
–
Form
Ayr Utd – last 6
LLLDLD
7 Apr
vs Dunfermline
0–3
L
27 Mar
@ Raith Rovers
0–3
L
10 Mar
vs Queen's Park
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Arbroath
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Inverness CT
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Ross County
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
ST Johnstone – last 6
WWDDDD
24 Apr
vs Raith Rovers
2–0
W
21 Apr
@ Dunfermline
2–0
W
28 Mar
vs Queen's Park
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Partick
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Queen's Park
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Raith Rovers
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ayr Utd and ST Johnstone.
What is the prediction for Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone?
On our numbers Ayr Utd have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and ST Johnstone 59%.
How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone?
Our predicted score is Ayr Utd 1–1 ST Johnstone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone?
Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone (Championship) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Somerset Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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