Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: FC OSS to win @ 2.50 – our chance 46% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC OSS to win ✓46% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.08
MVV vs FC OSS preview and prediction
The match
MVV host FC OSS in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 24 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at De Geusselt. MVV are 8th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while FC OSS sit 10th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
MVV's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Vitesse 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FC OSS's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Jong Ajax 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
FC OSS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.4 for MVV and 1.7 for FC OSS. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: MVV 34%, draw 20%, FC OSS 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.42.
Value angle: FC OSS to win at 2.50 – 46% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: MVV 1–1 FC OSS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MVV34%fair 2.94 · @2.50
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.65
FC OSS46%fair 2.18 · @2.50
3.16Expected goals
1.44MVV xG
1.72FC OSS xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: MVV 1.4 – 1.7 FC OSS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC OSS to win✓
46%
2.18
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC OSS / FT FC OSS✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.08
–
Form
MVV – last 6
DLLLDW
17 Apr
@ Vitesse
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Emmen
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Waalwijk
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Willem II
0–5
L
16 Mar
@ Jong AZ
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs VVV Venlo
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC OSS – last 6
WWLWDL
13 Apr
@ Jong Ajax
2–1
W
6 Apr
vs Jong Utrecht
3–1
W
3 Apr
@ Almere City FC
2–3
L
20 Mar
vs FC Eindhoven
2–1
W
17 Mar
@ Dordrecht
2–2
D
13 Mar
vs Willem II
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MVV and FC OSS.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win MVV vs FC OSS?
On our numbers MVV have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC OSS 46%.
How many goals will there be in MVV vs FC OSS?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MVV vs FC OSS?
Our predicted score is MVV 1–1 FC OSS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is MVV vs FC OSS?
MVV vs FC OSS (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Geusselt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag3
Willem II2