Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoda to win ✗40% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.06
Jong AZ vs Roda preview and prediction
The match
Jong AZ host Roda in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 24 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at AFAS Trainingscomplex. Jong AZ are 19th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while Roda sit 14th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jong AZ's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Willem II 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Roda's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Emmen 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Roda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.7 for Jong AZ and 1.7 for Roda. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong AZ 39%, draw 21%, Roda 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Jong AZ 1–2 Roda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong AZ39%fair 2.59 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.85
Roda40%fair 2.49 · @2.55
3.40Expected goals
1.68Jong AZ xG
1.72Roda xG
67%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Jong AZ 1.7 – 1.7 Roda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roda to win✗
40%
2.49
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roda / FT Roda✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.06
–
Form
Jong AZ – last 6
LLLWDL
17 Apr
@ Willem II
0–3
L
13 Apr
vs Jong PSV U21
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ De Graafschap
0–5
L
3 Apr
vs Helmond Sport
2–0
W
16 Mar
vs MVV
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Waalwijk
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Roda – last 6
DWLWDL
17 Apr
vs Emmen
2–2
D
10 Apr
@ FC Eindhoven
3–1
W
6 Apr
vs Willem II
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Dordrecht
3–0
W
20 Mar
vs Helmond Sport
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Vitesse
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong AZ and Roda.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Jong AZ vs Roda?
On our numbers Jong AZ have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Roda 40%.
How many goals will there be in Jong AZ vs Roda?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong AZ vs Roda?
Our predicted score is Jong AZ 1–2 Roda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Jong AZ vs Roda?
Jong AZ vs Roda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Trainingscomplex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag3
Willem II2