Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Willem II to win @ 2.45 – our chance 47% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWillem II to win ✓47% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.89
Dordrecht vs Willem II preview and prediction
The match
The Eerste Divisie sees Dordrecht take on Willem II on Friday 24 April, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at M-Scores Stadion.
Form guide
Dordrecht's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Almere City FC 1–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Willem II's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Jong AZ 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Willem II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Dordrecht and 1.6 for Willem II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dordrecht 33%, draw 21%, Willem II 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Willem II to win at 2.45 – 47% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Dordrecht 1–1 Willem II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dordrecht33%fair 3.05 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.55
Willem II47%fair 2.14 · @2.45
2.87Expected goals
1.28Dordrecht xG
1.59Willem II xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Dordrecht 1.3 – 1.6 Willem II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Willem II to win✓
47%
2.14
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Willem II / FT Willem II✓
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.89
–
Form
Dordrecht – last 6
LWDLLD
17 Apr
@ Almere City FC
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs ADO Den Haag
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Cambuur
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Roda
0–3
L
20 Mar
@ Jong Utrecht
1–3
L
17 Mar
vs FC OSS
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Willem II – last 6
WWWWWD
17 Apr
vs Jong AZ
3–0
W
6 Apr
@ Roda
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Jong PSV U21
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ MVV
5–0
W
13 Mar
@ FC OSS
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Den Bosch
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dordrecht and Willem II.
What is the prediction for Dordrecht vs Willem II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dordrecht vs Willem II?
On our numbers Dordrecht have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Willem II 47%.
How many goals will there be in Dordrecht vs Willem II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dordrecht vs Willem II?
Our predicted score is Dordrecht 1–1 Willem II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Dordrecht vs Willem II?
Dordrecht vs Willem II (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at M-Scores Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag3