Emmen host De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 24 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at De Oude Meerdijk. Emmen are 6th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while De Graafschap sit 1st on 0 points (top of the table). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Emmen's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Roda 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.8 conceded.
De Graafschap's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Cambuur 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.6 for Emmen and 1.9 for De Graafschap. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Emmen 33%, draw 19%, De Graafschap 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.33.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Emmen 1–2 De Graafschap. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Emmen33%fair 3.05 · @3.00
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.85
De Graafschap48%fair 2.08 · @2.05
3.52Expected goals
1.57Emmen xG
1.95De Graafschap xG
69%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Emmen 1.6 – 1.9 De Graafschap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
De Graafschap to win✗
48%
2.08
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Half-time result
De Graafschap ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT De Graafschap / FT De Graafschap✗
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.33
–
Form
Emmen – last 6
DLWDLD
17 Apr
@ Roda
2–2
D
10 Apr
@ Waalwijk
0–5
L
6 Apr
vs MVV
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Vitesse
3–3
D
24 Mar
vs Cambuur
2–4
L
20 Mar
vs VVV Venlo
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
De Graafschap – last 6
WWDLLD
17 Apr
vs Cambuur
3–1
W
6 Apr
vs Jong AZ
5–0
W
3 Apr
@ FC Eindhoven
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs ADO Den Haag
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Vitesse
1–4
L
27 Feb
@ MVV
3–3
D
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emmen and De Graafschap.
What is the prediction for Emmen vs De Graafschap?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Emmen vs De Graafschap?
On our numbers Emmen have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and De Graafschap 48%.
How many goals will there be in Emmen vs De Graafschap?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emmen vs De Graafschap?
Our predicted score is Emmen 1–2 De Graafschap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Emmen vs De Graafschap?
Emmen vs De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag3
Willem II2