Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWillem II to win ✓67% · @1.55
Double chanceWillem II or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.46
Willem II vs Jong PSV U21 preview and prediction
The match
Jong PSV U21 travel to Koning Willem II Stadion in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 3 April (19:00 WAT) to face Willem II.
Form guide
Willem II's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat MVV 5–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jong PSV U21's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Vitesse 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Willem II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Willem II and 0.9 for Jong PSV U21. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Willem II 67%, draw 20%, Jong PSV U21 13%.
Safer route: Willem II or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Willem II to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Willem II 2–0 Jong PSV U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Willem II67%fair 1.50 · @1.55
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.40
Jong PSV U2113%fair 7.60 · @4.60
3.18Expected goals
2.25Willem II xG
0.93Jong PSV U21 xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Willem II 2.3 – 0.9 Jong PSV U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Willem II to win✓
67%
1.50
1.55
Double chance
Willem II or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Willem II ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Willem II / FT Willem II✓
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.46
–
Form
Willem II – last 6
WWDWLW
22 Mar
@ MVV
5–0
W
13 Mar
@ FC OSS
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Den Bosch
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Emmen
3–0
W
24 Feb
vs ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Vitesse
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jong PSV U21 – last 6
LLLWDW
20 Mar
vs Vitesse
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Den Bosch
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs FC Eindhoven
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Roda
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Dordrecht
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Emmen
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Willem II and Jong PSV U21.
What is the prediction for Willem II vs Jong PSV U21?
Our pick is Willem II to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Willem II vs Jong PSV U21?
On our numbers Willem II have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jong PSV U21 13%.
How many goals will there be in Willem II vs Jong PSV U21?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs Jong PSV U21?
Our predicted score is Willem II 2–0 Jong PSV U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Willem II vs Jong PSV U21?
Willem II vs Jong PSV U21 (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO Den Haag4
Cambuur0