Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Vitesse to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVitesse to win ✗51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Vitesse vs Emmen preview and prediction
The match
Emmen travel to GelreDome in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 3 April (19:00 WAT) to face Vitesse. Vitesse are 15th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Emmen sit 6th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vitesse's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Jong PSV U21 2–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Emmen's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Cambuur 2–4 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Vitesse arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.9 for Vitesse and 1.3 for Emmen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vitesse 51%, draw 21%, Emmen 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Vitesse to win at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Vitesse 1–1 Emmen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitesse51%fair 1.97 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.50
Emmen29%fair 3.49 · @3.10
3.20Expected goals
1.86Vitesse xG
1.34Emmen xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Vitesse 1.9 – 1.3 Emmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitesse to win✗
51%
1.97
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Vitesse ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitesse / FT Vitesse✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Form
Vitesse – last 6
WWLWWL
20 Mar
@ Jong PSV U21
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Roda
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Almere City FC
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ De Graafschap
4–1
W
27 Feb
vs Jong AZ
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Willem II
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Emmen – last 6
LDLWLD
24 Mar
vs Cambuur
2–4
L
20 Mar
vs VVV Venlo
2–2
D
13 Mar
vs ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ Jong AZ
3–2
W
27 Feb
vs Willem II
0–3
L
23 Feb
vs Jong Ajax
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitesse and Emmen.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Vitesse vs Emmen?
On our numbers Vitesse have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Emmen 29%.
How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs Emmen?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs Emmen?
Our predicted score is Vitesse 1–1 Emmen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Vitesse vs Emmen?
Vitesse vs Emmen (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO Den Haag4
Cambuur0
Willem II1