Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.64 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.64Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoda to win ✗61% · @1.64
Double chanceRoda or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Roda vs Helmond Sport preview and prediction
The match
The Eerste Divisie sees Roda take on Helmond Sport on Friday 20 March, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion. Roda are 14th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Helmond Sport sit 7th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Roda's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Vitesse 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Helmond Sport's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Cambuur 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Roda and 1.0 for Helmond Sport. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Roda 61%, draw 20%, Helmond Sport 18%.
Safer route: Roda or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Roda to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.64. Predicted score: Roda 2–1 Helmond Sport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Roda61%fair 1.63 · @1.64
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.10
Helmond Sport18%fair 5.48 · @4.60
3.07Expected goals
2.05Roda xG
1.02Helmond Sport xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Roda 2.1 – 1.0 Helmond Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roda to win✗
61%
1.63
1.64
Double chance
Roda or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
1.57
Half-time result
Roda ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roda / FT Roda✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Roda – last 5
LDLDW
16 Mar
vs Vitesse
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Cambuur
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Jong PSV U21
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Den Bosch
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ Waalwijk
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Helmond Sport – last 6
LLDLLW
16 Mar
vs Cambuur
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Jong Utrecht
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs FC OSS
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Jong Ajax
1–5
L
20 Feb
vs ADO Den Haag
1–3
L
13 Feb
@ Almere City FC
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roda and Helmond Sport.
Our pick is Roda to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.64.
Who will win Roda vs Helmond Sport?
On our numbers Roda have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Helmond Sport 18%.
How many goals will there be in Roda vs Helmond Sport?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roda vs Helmond Sport?
Our predicted score is Roda 2–1 Helmond Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Roda vs Helmond Sport?
Roda vs Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur3