Cambuur host Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 20 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Kooi Stadion.
Form guide
Cambuur's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Helmond Sport 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Jong AZ's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with MVV 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Cambuur arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.5 for Cambuur and 1.0 for Jong AZ. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cambuur 68%, draw 19%, Jong AZ 13%.
Safer route: Cambuur or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cambuur to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cambuur 2–1 Jong AZ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cambuur68%fair 1.48 · @1.55
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @4.60
Jong AZ13%fair 7.71 · @4.80
3.48Expected goals
2.45Cambuur xG
1.03Jong AZ xG
66%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Cambuur 2.5 – 1.0 Jong AZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cambuur to win
68%
1.48
1.55
Double chance
Cambuur or draw
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
69%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.85
Half-time result
Cambuur ahead at half-time
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cambuur / FT Cambuur
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.51
–
Form
Cambuur – last 6
WDWWWW
16 Mar
@ Helmond Sport
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Roda
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Jong Utrecht
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Almere City FC
3–2
W
27 Feb
@ FC OSS
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs FC Eindhoven
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jong AZ – last 6
DLLLDW
16 Mar
vs MVV
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Waalwijk
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Emmen
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Vitesse
0–2
L
23 Feb
vs Den Bosch
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ FC OSS
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cambuur and Jong AZ.
Our pick is Cambuur to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Cambuur vs Jong AZ?
On our numbers Cambuur have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Jong AZ 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cambuur vs Jong AZ?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cambuur vs Jong AZ?
Our predicted score is Cambuur 2–1 Jong AZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Cambuur vs Jong AZ?
Cambuur vs Jong AZ (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Kooi Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
