Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmere City FC to win ✓66% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC preview and prediction
The match
The Eerste Divisie sees Jong Ajax take on Almere City FC on Friday 20 March, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Sportpark De Toekomst. Jong Ajax are 18th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while Almere City FC sit 9th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jong Ajax's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat VVV Venlo 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Almere City FC's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Waalwijk 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Jong Ajax arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.2 for Jong Ajax and 2.3 for Almere City FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong Ajax 21%, draw 13%, Almere City FC 66%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Almere City FC to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jong Ajax 1–2 Almere City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong Ajax21%fair 4.78 · @3.90
Draw13%fair 7.58 · @4.33
Almere City FC66%fair 1.52 · @1.73
3.52Expected goals
1.19Jong Ajax xG
2.34Almere City FC xG
64%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Jong Ajax 1.2 – 2.3 Almere City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almere City FC to win✓
66%
1.52
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.91
Half-time result
Almere City FC ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almere City FC / FT Almere City FC✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.46
–
Form
Jong Ajax – last 6
WWLWDW
17 Mar
@ VVV Venlo
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Den Bosch
3–2
W
6 Mar
@ FC Eindhoven
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs Helmond Sport
5–1
W
23 Feb
@ Emmen
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Dordrecht
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Almere City FC – last 6
DWLWLL
17 Mar
vs Waalwijk
2–2
D
13 Mar
@ Vitesse
3–1
W
3 Mar
@ Cambuur
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Jong Utrecht
3–2
W
21 Feb
@ FC Eindhoven
2–3
L
13 Feb
vs Helmond Sport
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Ajax and Almere City FC.
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC?
Our pick is Almere City FC to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC?
On our numbers Jong Ajax have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Almere City FC 66%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC?
Our predicted score is Jong Ajax 1–2 Almere City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC?
Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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