Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEmmen to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Emmen vs VVV Venlo preview and prediction
The match
The Eerste Divisie sees Emmen take on VVV Venlo on Friday 20 March, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at De Oude Meerdijk. Emmen are 6th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while VVV Venlo sit 2nd on 0 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Emmen's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to ADO Den Haag 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
VVV Venlo's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Jong Ajax 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for Emmen and 1.1 for VVV Venlo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Emmen 60%, draw 17%, VVV Venlo 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Emmen to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Emmen 2–1 VVV Venlo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Emmen60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 6.04 · @3.90
VVV Venlo24%fair 4.23 · @3.35
3.16Expected goals
2.01Emmen xG
1.15VVV Venlo xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Emmen 2.0 – 1.1 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Emmen to win✗
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Half-time result
Emmen ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Emmen / FT Emmen✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
Emmen – last 6
LWLDLL
13 Mar
vs ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ Jong AZ
3–2
W
27 Feb
vs Willem II
0–3
L
23 Feb
vs Jong Ajax
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Jong PSV U21
2–3
L
13 Feb
@ Dordrecht
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
VVV Venlo – last 5
LLLLD
17 Mar
vs Jong Ajax
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ MVV
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Waalwijk
0–3
L
27 Feb
@ ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs FC OSS
1–1
D
0.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emmen and VVV Venlo.
Our pick is Emmen to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Emmen vs VVV Venlo?
On our numbers Emmen have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 17% and VVV Venlo 24%.
How many goals will there be in Emmen vs VVV Venlo?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emmen vs VVV Venlo?
Our predicted score is Emmen 2–1 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Emmen vs VVV Venlo?
Emmen vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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