Value bet: Piast Gliwice to win @ 2.30 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPiast Gliwice to win ✗49% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Nieciecza vs Piast Gliwice preview and prediction
The match
Nieciecza host Piast Gliwice in the Ekstraklasa on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 11:15 (WAT) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.
Form guide
Nieciecza's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Lech Poznan 1–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Piast Gliwice's last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat Radomiak Radom 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Piast Gliwice arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Nieciecza and 1.6 for Piast Gliwice. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Piast Gliwice to win at 2.30 – 49% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Nieciecza 1–1 Piast Gliwice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nieciecza30%fair 3.29 · @2.86
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Piast Gliwice49%fair 2.04 · @2.30
2.77Expected goals
1.18Nieciecza xG
1.59Piast Gliwice xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Nieciecza 1.2 – 1.6 Piast Gliwice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Piast Gliwice to win✗
49%
2.04
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piast Gliwice / FT Piast Gliwice✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.70
–
Form
Nieciecza – last 5
LLDLD
22 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
1–4
L
13 Mar
vs Motor Lublin
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Raków Częstochowa
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Gornik Zabrze
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Piast Gliwice – last 4
WWLL
20 Mar
vs Radomiak Radom
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ Cracovia Krakow
3–2
W
20 Feb
vs Motor Lublin
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Lech Poznan
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nieciecza and Piast Gliwice.
What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Piast Gliwice?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Piast Gliwice?
On our numbers Nieciecza have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Piast Gliwice 49%.
How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Piast Gliwice?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Piast Gliwice?
Our predicted score is Nieciecza 1–1 Piast Gliwice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Nieciecza vs Piast Gliwice?
Nieciecza vs Piast Gliwice (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lechia Gdansk4