Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa preview and prediction
The match
Legia Warszawa travel to Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera in the Ekstraklasa on Monday 6 April (16:30 WAT) to face Pogon Szczecin. Pogon Szczecin are 4th with 24 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Legia Warszawa sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pogon Szczecin's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Korona Kielce 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Legia Warszawa's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Radomiak Radom 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Pogon Szczecin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Pogon Szczecin and 1.4 for Legia Warszawa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pogon Szczecin 38%, draw 23%, Legia Warszawa 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogon Szczecin38%fair 2.64 · @2.64
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Legia Warszawa39%fair 2.53 · @2.46
2.76Expected goals
1.36Pogon Szczecin xG
1.40Legia Warszawa xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Pogon Szczecin 1.4 – 1.4 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Legia Warszawa to win✓
39%
2.53
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa✓
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.87
–
Form
Pogon Szczecin – last 3
WLW
16 Mar
vs Korona Kielce
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Raków Częstochowa
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Arka Gdynia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Legia Warszawa – last 3
DDD
13 Mar
@ Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Jagiellonia
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ GKS Katowice
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogon Szczecin and Legia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
On our numbers Pogon Szczecin have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Legia Warszawa 39%.
How many goals will there be in Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nieciecza3
Lechia Gdansk4