Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Motor Lublin to win @ 3.35 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRadomiak Radom to win ✗42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin preview and prediction
The match
Motor Lublin travel to Stadion im. Braci Czachorów in the Ekstraklasa on Monday 6 April (13:45 WAT) to face Radomiak Radom. Radomiak Radom are 14th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Motor Lublin sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Radomiak Radom's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Piast Gliwice 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Motor Lublin's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Motor Lublin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Radomiak Radom and 1.4 for Motor Lublin. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Radomiak Radom 42%, draw 22%, Motor Lublin 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Motor Lublin to win at 3.35 – 36% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Radomiak Radom 1–1 Motor Lublin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Radomiak Radom42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.65
Motor Lublin36%fair 2.81 · @3.35
2.98Expected goals
1.56Radomiak Radom xG
1.42Motor Lublin xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Radomiak Radom 1.6 – 1.4 Motor Lublin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Radomiak Radom to win✗
42%
2.37
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Radomiak Radom / FT Radomiak Radom✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Form
Radomiak Radom – last 6
LDLWDD
20 Mar
@ Piast Gliwice
1–3
L
13 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs GKS Katowice
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Arka Gdynia
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Nieciecza
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Jagiellonia
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Motor Lublin – last 5
WWDWL
20 Mar
vs Zaglebie Lubin
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Nieciecza
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Piast Gliwice
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–3
L
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin.
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
On our numbers Radomiak Radom have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Motor Lublin 36%.
How many goals will there be in Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
Our predicted score is Radomiak Radom 1–1 Motor Lublin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Braci Czachorów.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nieciecza3
Lechia Gdansk4