Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Arsenal to win @ 1.78 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArsenal to win ✓61% · @1.78
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.01
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal preview and prediction
The match
Arsenal travel to Selhurst Park in the Premier League on Sunday 24 May (16:00 WAT) to face Crystal Palace. Crystal Palace are 20th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Arsenal sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Crystal Palace's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Brentford 2–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Arsenal's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Burnley 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arsenal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Crystal Palace and 1.9 for Arsenal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Crystal Palace 15%, draw 25%, Arsenal 61%.
Safer route: Arsenal or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Arsenal to win at 1.78 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arsenal or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Crystal Palace 0–1 Arsenal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crystal Palace15%fair 6.87 · @3.95
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.90
Arsenal61%fair 1.64 · @1.78
2.71Expected goals
0.83Crystal Palace xG
1.88Arsenal xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Crystal Palace 0.8 – 1.9 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal to win✓
61%
1.64
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Arsenal or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.48
Half-time result
Arsenal ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal / FT Arsenal✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.01
–
Form
Crystal Palace – last 6
DLDWLW
17 May
@ Brentford
2–2
D
13 May
@ Manchester City
0–3
L
10 May
vs Everton
2–2
D
7 May
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
2–1
W
3 May
@ Bournemouth
0–3
L
30 Apr
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Arsenal – last 6
WWDDWL
18 May
vs Burnley
1–0
W
5 May
vs Atletico Madrid
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Atletico Madrid
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Sporting CP
0–0
D
7 Apr
@ Sporting CP
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Manchester City
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crystal Palace and Arsenal.
What is the prediction for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?
Our pick is Arsenal or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?
On our numbers Crystal Palace have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arsenal 61%.
How many goals will there be in Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?
Our predicted score is Crystal Palace 0–1 Arsenal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Selhurst Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Burnley1
Wolves1