Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewcastle to win ✓42% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Newcastle vs West Ham preview and prediction
The match
West Ham travel to St. James' Park in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May (17:30 WAT) to face Newcastle.
Form guide
Newcastle's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Nottingham Forest 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
West Ham's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Crystal Palace 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.4 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Newcastle and 1.4 for West Ham. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newcastle 42%, draw 22%, West Ham 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Newcastle 1–1 West Ham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newcastle42%fair 2.38 · @2.16
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.70
West Ham36%fair 2.79 · @2.96
3.04Expected goals
1.59Newcastle xG
1.45West Ham xG
66%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Newcastle 1.6 – 1.4 West Ham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle to win✓
42%
2.38
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle / FT Newcastle✓
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.39
–
Form
Newcastle – last 6
DLLDWW
10 May
@ Nottingham Forest
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Sunderland
1–2
L
18 Mar
@ Barcelona
2–7
L
10 Mar
vs Barcelona
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Manchester United
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Qarabag
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
West Ham – last 5
DWLWD
20 Apr
@ Crystal Palace
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Wolves
4–0
W
22 Mar
@ Aston Villa
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Fulham
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Burton Albion
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle and West Ham.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Newcastle vs West Ham?
On our numbers Newcastle have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and West Ham 36%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs West Ham?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs West Ham?
Our predicted score is Newcastle 1–1 West Ham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Newcastle vs West Ham?
Newcastle vs West Ham (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at St. James' Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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