Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Everton to win @ 1.81 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEverton to win ✗59% · @1.81
Double chanceEverton or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.59
Everton vs Sunderland preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Everton take on Sunderland on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Everton are 6th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Sunderland sit 19th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Everton's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Crystal Palace 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Sunderland's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Aston Villa 3–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Everton and 0.8 for Sunderland. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Everton to win at 1.81 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Everton or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Everton 1–0 Sunderland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Everton59%fair 1.71 · @1.81
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.60
Sunderland17%fair 5.78 · @4.10
2.58Expected goals
1.75Everton xG
0.84Sunderland xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Everton 1.7 – 0.8 Sunderland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Everton to win✗
59%
1.71
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Everton or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.36
Half-time result
Everton ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Everton / FT Everton✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.59
–
Form
Everton – last 5
DDLWL
10 May
@ Crystal Palace
2–2
D
4 May
vs Manchester City
3–3
D
19 Apr
vs Liverpool
1–2
L
3 Mar
vs Burnley
2–0
W
23 Feb
vs Manchester United
0–1
L
1.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sunderland – last 6
LWLWDL
19 Apr
@ Aston Villa
3–4
L
22 Mar
@ Newcastle
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Leeds
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ Bournemouth
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Fulham
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Everton and Sunderland.
Our pick is Everton or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Everton vs Sunderland?
On our numbers Everton have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sunderland 17%.
How many goals will there be in Everton vs Sunderland?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Sunderland?
Our predicted score is Everton 1–0 Sunderland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Everton vs Sunderland?
Everton vs Sunderland (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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