Brentford vs Crystal Palace preview and prediction
The match
Brentford host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Brentford Community Stadium. Brentford are 8th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Crystal Palace sit 20th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Brentford's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Manchester United 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Crystal Palace's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Manchester City 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Brentford and 0.7 for Crystal Palace. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Brentford to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Brentford 2–0 Crystal Palace. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brentford68%fair 1.47 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.00
Crystal Palace11%fair 8.81 · @4.65
2.78Expected goals
2.06Brentford xG
0.72Crystal Palace xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Brentford 2.1 – 0.7 Crystal Palace expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brentford to win✗
68%
1.47
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Brentford or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.48
Half-time result
Brentford ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brentford / FT Brentford✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.60
–
Form
Brentford – last 5
LDDLW
27 Apr
@ Manchester United
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Wolves
2–2
D
3 Mar
@ Bournemouth
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Brighton
0–2
L
16 Feb
@ Macclesfield
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Crystal Palace – last 6
LDWLWD
13 May
@ Manchester City
0–3
L
10 May
vs Everton
2–2
D
7 May
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
2–1
W
3 May
@ Bournemouth
0–3
L
30 Apr
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
3–1
W
20 Apr
vs West Ham
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brentford and Crystal Palace.
What is the prediction for Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
Our pick is Brentford to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
On our numbers Brentford have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Crystal Palace 11%.
How many goals will there be in Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
Our predicted score is Brentford 2–0 Crystal Palace, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
Brentford vs Crystal Palace (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Brentford Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Wolves1
West Ham1