Manchester City vs Brentford prediction & analysis
69%
Footrivo pick
Manchester City to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.34
7/10Rating
1.34Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultManchester City to win69% · @1.34
Double chanceManchester City or draw90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–011% · fair 8.70
Manchester City vs Brentford preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Manchester City take on Brentford on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Etihad Stadium. Manchester City are 3rd with 21 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Brentford sit 8th on 14 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Manchester City's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Everton 3–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Brentford's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Manchester United 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Manchester City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Manchester City and 0.8 for Brentford. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manchester City 69%, draw 21%, Brentford 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Manchester City to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.34. Predicted score: Manchester City 2–0 Brentford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manchester City69%fair 1.44 · @1.34
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @5.20
Brentford10%fair 10.44 · @7.70
3.18Expected goals
2.35Manchester City xG
0.83Brentford xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Manchester City 2.3 – 0.8 Brentford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City to win
69%
1.44
1.34
Double chance
Manchester City or draw
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
64%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
57%
1.76
1.80
Half-time result
Manchester City ahead at half-time
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City / FT Manchester City
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
11%
8.70
–
Form
Manchester City – last 6
DWWWLL
4 May
@ Everton
3–3
D
22 Apr
@ Burnley
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Liverpool
4–0
W
22 Mar
@ Arsenal
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Real Madrid
1–2
L
11 Mar
@ Real Madrid
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Brentford – last 5
LDDLW
27 Apr
@ Manchester United
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Wolves
2–2
D
3 Mar
@ Bournemouth
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Brighton
0–2
L
16 Feb
@ Macclesfield
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester City and Brentford.
What is the prediction for Manchester City vs Brentford?
Our pick is Manchester City to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Manchester City vs Brentford?
On our numbers Manchester City have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Brentford 10%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester City vs Brentford?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Brentford?
Our predicted score is Manchester City 2–0 Brentford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Manchester City vs Brentford?
Manchester City vs Brentford (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Etihad Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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