The Premier League sees Brighton take on Wolves on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Amex Stadium.
Form guide
Brighton's last 4: WLWW Most recently they beat Chelsea 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Wolves's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to West Ham 0–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Brighton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.3 for Brighton and 0.6 for Wolves. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brighton 73%, draw 20%, Wolves 7%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Brighton to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Brighton 2–0 Wolves. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brighton73%fair 1.36 · @1.24
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @5.80
Wolves7%fair 14.39 · @11.00
2.90Expected goals
2.28Brighton xG
0.62Wolves xG
52%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–012%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Brighton 2.3 – 0.6 Wolves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brighton to win
73%
1.36
1.24
Double chance
Brighton or draw
93%
1.07
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.93
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.69
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.62
Half-time result
Brighton ahead at half-time
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brighton / FT Brighton
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
14%
7.02
–
Form
Brighton – last 4
WLWW
21 Apr
vs Chelsea
3–0
W
4 Mar
vs Arsenal
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Nottingham Forest
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Brentford
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Wolves – last 6
LDLWWL
10 Apr
@ West Ham
0–4
L
16 Mar
@ Brentford
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Liverpool
1–3
L
3 Mar
vs Liverpool
2–1
W
27 Feb
vs Aston Villa
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Crystal Palace
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brighton and Wolves.
Our pick is Brighton to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Brighton vs Wolves?
On our numbers Brighton have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Wolves 7%.
How many goals will there be in Brighton vs Wolves?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brighton vs Wolves?
Our predicted score is Brighton 2–0 Wolves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Brighton vs Wolves?
Brighton vs Wolves (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Amex Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
