Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiverpool to win ✗58% · @1.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Liverpool vs Chelsea preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Liverpool take on Chelsea on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Anfield. Liverpool are 4th with 18 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Chelsea sit 5th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Liverpool's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Everton 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Chelsea's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Nottingham Forest 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Liverpool arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for Liverpool and 1.2 for Chelsea. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liverpool 58%, draw 19%, Chelsea 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Liverpool 2–1 Chelsea. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liverpool58%fair 1.72 · @1.81
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.00
Chelsea22%fair 4.44 · @3.75
3.16Expected goals
2.01Liverpool xG
1.16Chelsea xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Liverpool 2.0 – 1.2 Chelsea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool to win✗
58%
1.72
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Half-time result
Liverpool ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool / FT Liverpool✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
Liverpool – last 6
WLLLWD
19 Apr
@ Everton
2–1
W
14 Apr
vs Paris Saint Germain
0–2
L
8 Apr
@ Paris Saint Germain
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ Manchester City
0–4
L
18 Mar
vs Galatasaray
4–0
W
15 Mar
vs Tottenham
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chelsea – last 6
LLLLWL
4 May
vs Nottingham Forest
1–3
L
21 Apr
@ Brighton
0–3
L
17 Mar
vs Paris Saint Germain
0–3
L
11 Mar
@ Paris Saint Germain
2–5
L
4 Mar
@ Aston Villa
4–1
W
1 Mar
@ Arsenal
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liverpool and Chelsea.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Liverpool vs Chelsea?
On our numbers Liverpool have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chelsea 22%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Chelsea?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Our predicted score is Liverpool 2–1 Chelsea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Liverpool vs Chelsea (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Anfield.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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