Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultManchester City to win ✗65% · @1.40
Double chanceManchester City or draw ✓87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.79
Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest preview and prediction
The match
Nottingham Forest travel to Etihad Stadium in the Premier League on Wednesday 4 March (20:30 WAT) to face Manchester City. Manchester City are 3rd with 21 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Nottingham Forest sit 16th on 9 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nottingham Forest's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Brighton 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Manchester City and 0.9 for Nottingham Forest. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manchester City 65%, draw 22%, Nottingham Forest 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Manchester City 2–0 Nottingham Forest. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manchester City65%fair 1.53 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.55
Nottingham Forest13%fair 7.71 · @7.30
2.85Expected goals
1.97Manchester City xG
0.88Nottingham Forest xG
55%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Manchester City 2.0 – 0.9 Nottingham Forest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City to win✗
65%
1.53
1.40
Double chance
Manchester City or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.50
Half-time result
Manchester City ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City / FT Manchester City✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.79
–
Form
Manchester City
No recent results on record.
Nottingham Forest – last 4
LLLW
1 Mar
@ Brighton
1–2
L
26 Feb
vs Fenerbahçe
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Liverpool
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ Fenerbahçe
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester City and Nottingham Forest.
What is the prediction for Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
On our numbers Manchester City have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nottingham Forest 13%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
Our predicted score is Manchester City 2–0 Nottingham Forest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Etihad Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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