Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Newcastle to win @ 1.70 – our chance 67% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewcastle to win67% · @1.70
Double chanceNewcastle or draw88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.51
Newcastle vs Everton preview and prediction
The match
Everton travel to St. James' Park in the Premier League on Saturday 28 February (16:00 WAT) to face Newcastle. Newcastle are 12th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Everton sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Newcastle and 0.7 for Everton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Newcastle to win at 1.70 – 67% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Newcastle or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Newcastle 1–0 Everton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newcastle67%fair 1.50 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.95
Everton12%fair 8.05 · @4.40
2.72Expected goals
1.99Newcastle xG
0.73Everton xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Newcastle 2.0 – 0.7 Everton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle to win
67%
1.50
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Newcastle or draw
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.46
1.44
Half-time result
Newcastle ahead at half-time
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle / FT Newcastle
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.51
–
Form
Newcastle – last 2
WW
24 Feb
vs Qarabag
3–2
W
18 Feb
@ Qarabag
6–1
W
4.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Everton – last 1
L
23 Feb
vs Manchester United
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle and Everton.
Our pick is Newcastle or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
On our numbers Newcastle have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Everton 12%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs Everton?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Everton?
Our predicted score is Newcastle 1–0 Everton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Newcastle vs Everton?
Newcastle vs Everton (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at St. James' Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Burnley
West Ham