Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Bournemouth to win @ 1.74 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBournemouth to win ✗63% · @1.74
Double chanceBournemouth or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Bournemouth vs Sunderland preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Bournemouth take on Sunderland on Saturday 28 February, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth are 7th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Sunderland sit 19th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Bournemouth and 0.8 for Sunderland. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Bournemouth to win at 1.74 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bournemouth or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bournemouth 1–0 Sunderland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bournemouth63%fair 1.58 · @1.74
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.70
Sunderland15%fair 6.72 · @4.40
2.78Expected goals
1.95Bournemouth xG
0.83Sunderland xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Bournemouth 1.9 – 0.8 Sunderland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bournemouth to win✗
63%
1.58
1.74 ▲
Double chance
Bournemouth or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Half-time result
Bournemouth ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bournemouth / FT Bournemouth✗
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Form
Bournemouth
No recent results on record.
Sunderland – last 2
LW
22 Feb
vs Fulham
1–3
L
15 Feb
@ Oxford United
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bournemouth and Sunderland.
What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Our pick is Bournemouth or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sunderland 15%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Our predicted score is Bournemouth 1–0 Sunderland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Bournemouth vs Sunderland (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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