Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrentford to win58% · @1.78
Double chanceBrentford or draw81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.09
Burnley vs Brentford preview and prediction
The match
Brentford travel to Turf Moor in the Premier League on Saturday 28 February (16:00 WAT) to face Burnley.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for Burnley and 1.9 for Brentford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Brentford or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Burnley 0–1 Brentford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burnley19%fair 5.38 · @4.10
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.80
Brentford58%fair 1.71 · @1.78
2.83Expected goals
0.96Burnley xG
1.87Brentford xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Burnley 1.0 – 1.9 Brentford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brentford to win
58%
1.71
1.78
Double chance
Brentford or draw
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.35
Half-time result
Brentford ahead at half-time
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brentford / FT Brentford
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.09
–
Form
Burnley – last 1
D
21 Feb
@ Chelsea
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Brentford – last 2
LW
21 Feb
vs Brighton
0–2
L
16 Feb
@ Macclesfield
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burnley and Brentford.
Our pick is Brentford or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Burnley vs Brentford?
On our numbers Burnley have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Brentford 58%.
How many goals will there be in Burnley vs Brentford?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Brentford?
Our predicted score is Burnley 0–1 Brentford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Burnley vs Brentford?
Burnley vs Brentford (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Turf Moor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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