Udinese travel to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in the Serie A on Sunday 24 May (17:00 WAT) to face Napoli. Napoli are 10th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Udinese sit 20th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Napoli's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Pisa 3–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Udinese's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Cremonese 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Napoli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Napoli and 0.8 for Udinese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Napoli 63%, draw 22%, Udinese 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Napoli 2–0 Udinese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Napoli63%fair 1.58 · @1.47
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.10
Udinese15%fair 6.61 · @6.80
2.60Expected goals
1.84Napoli xG
0.76Udinese xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Napoli 1.8 – 0.8 Udinese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napoli to win✓
63%
1.58
1.47
Double chance
Napoli or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Napoli ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napoli / FT Napoli✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.34
–
Form
Napoli – last 6
WLWWWW
17 May
@ Pisa
3–0
W
11 May
vs Bologna
2–3
L
24 Apr
vs Cremonese
4–0
W
6 Apr
vs AC Milan
1–0
W
20 Mar
@ Cagliari
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Torino
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Udinese – last 6
LDDWWL
17 May
vs Cremonese
0–1
L
27 Apr
@ Lazio
3–3
D
6 Apr
vs Como
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ Genoa
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs Fiorentina
3–0
W
23 Feb
@ Bologna
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napoli and Udinese.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Napoli vs Udinese?
On our numbers Napoli have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Udinese 15%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli vs Udinese?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Udinese?
Our predicted score is Napoli 2–0 Udinese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Napoli vs Udinese?
Napoli vs Udinese (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.