Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAC Milan to win ✗70% · @1.28
Double chanceAC Milan or draw ✗91% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.82
AC Milan vs Cagliari preview and prediction
The match
Cagliari travel to Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in the Serie A on Sunday 24 May (19:45 WAT) to face AC Milan. AC Milan are 4th with 24 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Cagliari sit 9th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
AC Milan's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Genoa 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cagliari's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Torino 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for AC Milan and 0.6 for Cagliari. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AC Milan 70%, draw 21%, Cagliari 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: AC Milan 2–0 Cagliari. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AC Milan70%fair 1.43 · @1.28
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @5.30
Cagliari9%fair 10.95 · @10.00
2.65Expected goals
2.04AC Milan xG
0.61Cagliari xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: AC Milan 2.0 – 0.6 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AC Milan to win✗
70%
1.43
1.28
Double chance
AC Milan or draw✗
91%
1.10
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.45
Half-time result
AC Milan ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AC Milan / FT AC Milan✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
15%
6.82
–
Form
AC Milan – last 6
WLWLLW
17 May
@ Genoa
2–1
W
3 May
@ Sassuolo
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Hellas Verona
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Napoli
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Lazio
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Cremonese
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 6
WDWLLL
17 May
vs Torino
2–1
W
3 May
@ Bologna
0–0
D
27 Apr
vs Atalanta
3–2
W
17 Apr
@ Inter
0–3
L
20 Mar
vs Napoli
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Pisa
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AC Milan and Cagliari.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win AC Milan vs Cagliari?
On our numbers AC Milan have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cagliari 9%.
How many goals will there be in AC Milan vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Milan vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is AC Milan 2–0 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AC Milan vs Cagliari?
AC Milan vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cremonese1
Hellas Verona0