Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultComo to win ✗64% · @1.69
Double chanceComo or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Udinese vs Como preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Udinese take on Como on Monday 6 April, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli. Udinese are 20th with 5 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Como sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Udinese's last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat Genoa 2–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Como's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Pisa 5–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Como arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Udinese and 1.8 for Como. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Udinese 17%, draw 19%, Como 64%.
Safer route: Como or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Udinese 0–1 Como. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Udinese17%fair 5.82 · @4.90
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.65
Como64%fair 1.57 · @1.69
2.55Expected goals
0.76Udinese xG
1.79Como xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Udinese 0.8 – 1.8 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Como to win✗
64%
1.57
1.69 ▲
Double chance
Como or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Como ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Como / FT Como✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.52
–
Form
Udinese – last 4
WWLL
20 Mar
@ Genoa
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs Fiorentina
3–0
W
23 Feb
@ Bologna
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Sassuolo
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Como – last 5
WWDWD
22 Mar
vs Pisa
5–0
W
15 Mar
vs AS Roma
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs Inter
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Juventus
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ AC Milan
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Udinese and Como.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Udinese vs Como?
On our numbers Udinese have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Como 64%.
How many goals will there be in Udinese vs Como?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Como?
Our predicted score is Udinese 0–1 Como, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Udinese vs Como?
Udinese vs Como (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
