Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventus to win ✓70% · @1.35
Double chanceJuventus or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Juventus vs Genoa preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Juventus take on Genoa on Monday 6 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Allianz Stadium. Juventus are 7th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Genoa sit 13th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Juventus's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Galatasaray 3–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Genoa's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Udinese 0–2 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Genoa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Juventus and 0.6 for Genoa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juventus 70%, draw 18%, Genoa 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Juventus 2–0 Genoa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventus70%fair 1.42 · @1.35
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @4.45
Genoa12%fair 8.45 · @9.40
2.65Expected goals
2.00Juventus xG
0.65Genoa xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–014%
3–09%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Juventus 2.0 – 0.6 Genoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventus to win✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Double chance
Juventus or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Juventus ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventus / FT Juventus✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.92
–
Form
Juventus – last 3
WLL
25 Feb
vs Galatasaray
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Como
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Galatasaray
2–5
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Genoa – last 5
LWWWD
20 Mar
vs Udinese
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Hellas Verona
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs AS Roma
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Torino
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Cremonese
0–0
D
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventus and Genoa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Juventus vs Genoa?
On our numbers Juventus have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Genoa 12%.
How many goals will there be in Juventus vs Genoa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventus vs Genoa?
Our predicted score is Juventus 2–0 Genoa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Juventus vs Genoa?
Juventus vs Genoa (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
