Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.50
Lecce vs Atalanta preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Lecce take on Atalanta on Monday 6 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare. Lecce are 14th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Atalanta sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Atalanta's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Hellas Verona 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Lecce and 1.6 for Atalanta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lecce 16%, draw 26%, Atalanta 58%.
Safer route: Atalanta or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Lecce 0–1 Atalanta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lecce16%fair 6.25 · @4.85
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.50
Atalanta58%fair 1.71 · @1.73
2.36Expected goals
0.73Lecce xG
1.63Atalanta xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
0–09%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Lecce 0.7 – 1.6 Atalanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✓
58%
1.71
1.73
Double chance
Atalanta or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✓
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.50
–
Form
Lecce – last 2
WW
8 Mar
vs Cremonese
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Cagliari
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atalanta – last 6
WLLDLW
22 Mar
vs Hellas Verona
1–0
W
18 Mar
@ Bayern München
1–4
L
10 Mar
vs Bayern München
1–6
L
4 Mar
@ Lazio
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Sassuolo
1–2
L
25 Feb
vs Borussia Dortmund
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lecce and Atalanta.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Lecce vs Atalanta?
On our numbers Lecce have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atalanta 58%.
How many goals will there be in Lecce vs Atalanta?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecce vs Atalanta?
Our predicted score is Lecce 0–1 Atalanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lecce vs Atalanta?
Lecce vs Atalanta (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
