Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.54
AS Roma vs Lecce preview and prediction
The match
Lecce travel to Stadio Olimpico in the Serie A on Sunday 22 March (18:00 WAT) to face AS Roma. AS Roma are 3rd with 27 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Lecce sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
AS Roma's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Bologna 3–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for AS Roma and 0.5 for Lecce. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AS Roma 68%, draw 22%, Lecce 10%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: AS Roma 1–0 Lecce. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AS Roma68%fair 1.46 · @1.46
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.95
Lecce10%fair 10.32 · @7.50
2.29Expected goals
1.78AS Roma xG
0.51Lecce xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: AS Roma 1.8 – 0.5 Lecce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Roma to win
68%
1.46
1.46
Double chance
AS Roma or draw
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.99
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
AS Roma ahead at half-time
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Roma / FT AS Roma
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.54
–
Form
AS Roma – last 6
DLDLWD
19 Mar
vs Bologna
3–3
D
15 Mar
@ Como
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ Bologna
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Genoa
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Cremonese
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Napoli
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lecce – last 2
WW
8 Mar
vs Cremonese
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Cagliari
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Roma and Lecce.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AS Roma vs Lecce?
On our numbers AS Roma have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lecce 10%.
How many goals will there be in AS Roma vs Lecce?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Roma vs Lecce?
Our predicted score is AS Roma 1–0 Lecce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is AS Roma vs Lecce?
AS Roma vs Lecce (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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