Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBologna to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.66
Bologna vs Lazio preview and prediction
The match
Bologna host Lazio in the Serie A on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Bologna are 8th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Lazio sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bologna's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with AS Roma 3–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lazio's last 4: WWDL Most recently they beat AC Milan 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Bologna and 1.0 for Lazio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bologna 45%, draw 24%, Lazio 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bologna 1–1 Lazio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bologna45%fair 2.21 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.00
Lazio31%fair 3.20 · @3.30
2.29Expected goals
1.29Bologna xG
1.00Lazio xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Bologna 1.3 – 1.0 Lazio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bologna to win✗
45%
2.21
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bologna / FT Bologna✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.66
–
Form
Bologna – last 6
DWDLWW
19 Mar
@ AS Roma
3–3
D
15 Mar
@ Sassuolo
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs AS Roma
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Hellas Verona
1–2
L
2 Mar
@ Pisa
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Brann
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lazio – last 4
WWDL
15 Mar
vs AC Milan
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Sassuolo
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Atalanta
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Torino
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bologna and Lazio.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bologna vs Lazio?
On our numbers Bologna have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lazio 31%.
How many goals will there be in Bologna vs Lazio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bologna vs Lazio?
Our predicted score is Bologna 1–1 Lazio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bologna vs Lazio?
Bologna vs Lazio (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pisa0
Hellas Verona0