Inter travel to Stadio Artemio Franchi in the Serie A on Sunday 22 March (20:45 WAT) to face Fiorentina. Fiorentina are 15th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Inter sit 2nd on 28 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fiorentina's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Raków Częstochowa 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Inter's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Como 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Fiorentina arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for Fiorentina and 1.9 for Inter. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fiorentina 21%, draw 18%, Inter 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Fiorentina 1–1 Inter. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fiorentina21%fair 4.79 · @4.90
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @3.95
Inter61%fair 1.64 · @1.63
2.84Expected goals
0.96Fiorentina xG
1.88Inter xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Fiorentina 1.0 – 1.9 Inter expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter to win
61%
1.64
1.63
Double chance
Either team to win
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.40
Half-time result
Inter ahead at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
11%
9.10
–
Form
Fiorentina – last 6
WWWDLL
19 Mar
@ Raków Częstochowa
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Cremonese
4–1
W
12 Mar
vs Raków Częstochowa
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Parma
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Udinese
0–3
L
26 Feb
vs Jagiellonia
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Inter – last 3
DLL
3 Mar
@ Como
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
18 Feb
@ BodoGlimt
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorentina and Inter.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Inter?
On our numbers Fiorentina have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Inter 61%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Inter?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Inter?
Our predicted score is Fiorentina 1–1 Inter, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fiorentina vs Inter?
Fiorentina vs Inter (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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