Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtalanta to win ✓68% · @1.38
Double chanceAtalanta or draw ✓91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.61
Atalanta vs Hellas Verona preview and prediction
The match
Hellas Verona travel to New Balance Arena in the Serie A on Sunday 22 March (15:00 WAT) to face Atalanta.
Form guide
Atalanta's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Bayern München 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Hellas Verona's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to Genoa 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Atalanta and 0.6 for Hellas Verona. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Atalanta 1–0 Hellas Verona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atalanta68%fair 1.47 · @1.38
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @4.40
Hellas Verona9%fair 11.74 · @8.50
2.56Expected goals
1.96Atalanta xG
0.60Hellas Verona xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Atalanta 2.0 – 0.6 Hellas Verona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Double chance
Atalanta or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Half-time result
Atalanta ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✓
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.61
–
Form
Atalanta – last 6
LLDLWW
18 Mar
@ Bayern München
1–4
L
10 Mar
vs Bayern München
1–6
L
4 Mar
@ Lazio
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Sassuolo
1–2
L
25 Feb
vs Borussia Dortmund
4–1
W
22 Feb
vs Napoli
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hellas Verona – last 4
LWLL
15 Mar
vs Genoa
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Bologna
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Sassuolo
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Parma
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atalanta and Hellas Verona.
What is the prediction for Atalanta vs Hellas Verona?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Atalanta vs Hellas Verona?
On our numbers Atalanta have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hellas Verona 9%.
How many goals will there be in Atalanta vs Hellas Verona?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Hellas Verona?
Our predicted score is Atalanta 1–0 Hellas Verona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Atalanta vs Hellas Verona?
Atalanta vs Hellas Verona (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New Balance Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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