Value bet: Bologna to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBologna to win ✓39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 9.97
Sassuolo vs Bologna preview and prediction
The match
Bologna travel to MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore in the Serie A on Sunday 15 March (15:00 WAT) to face Sassuolo. Sassuolo are 17th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Bologna sit 8th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sassuolo's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Lazio 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Bologna's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with AS Roma 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Sassuolo and 1.3 for Bologna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sassuolo 37%, draw 24%, Bologna 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Bologna to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Sassuolo 1–1 Bologna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sassuolo37%fair 2.74 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
Bologna39%fair 2.56 · @2.90
2.57Expected goals
1.26Sassuolo xG
1.31Bologna xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sassuolo 1.3 – 1.3 Bologna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bologna to win✓
39%
2.56
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bologna / FT Bologna✓
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
9.97
–
Form
Sassuolo – last 4
LWWW
9 Mar
@ Lazio
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Atalanta
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Verona
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Udinese
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bologna – last 6
DLWWWW
12 Mar
vs AS Roma
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Hellas Verona
1–2
L
2 Mar
@ Pisa
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Brann
1–0
W
23 Feb
vs Udinese
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Brann
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sassuolo and Bologna.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Bologna?
On our numbers Sassuolo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bologna 39%.
How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Bologna?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Bologna?
Our predicted score is Sassuolo 1–1 Bologna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sassuolo vs Bologna?
Sassuolo vs Bologna (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hellas Verona0
Pisa3