Value bet: Cagliari to win @ 3.00 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCagliari to win ✗40% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.87
Pisa vs Cagliari preview and prediction
The match
Pisa host Cagliari in the Serie A on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani.
Form guide
Pisa's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Bologna 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Pisa and 1.3 for Cagliari. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pisa 33%, draw 27%, Cagliari 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Cagliari to win at 3.00 – 40% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pisa 1–1 Cagliari. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pisa33%fair 2.99 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.80
Cagliari40%fair 2.52 · @3.00
2.43Expected goals
1.15Pisa xG
1.28Cagliari xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Pisa 1.1 – 1.3 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cagliari to win✗
40%
2.52
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cagliari / FT Cagliari✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.87
–
Form
Pisa – last 3
LLL
2 Mar
vs Bologna
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Fiorentina
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs AC Milan
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 2
DL
27 Feb
@ Parma
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Lecce
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pisa and Cagliari.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Pisa vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Pisa have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cagliari 40%.
How many goals will there be in Pisa vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pisa vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Pisa 1–1 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Pisa vs Cagliari?
Pisa vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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