Value bet: AS Roma to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultComo to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.61
Como vs AS Roma preview and prediction
The match
AS Roma travel to Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in the Serie A on Sunday 15 March (18:00 WAT) to face Como. Como are 5th with 23 points from 11 games (in the top half), while AS Roma sit 3rd on 27 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Como's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Inter 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AS Roma's last 4: DLWD Most recently they drew with Bologna 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Como and 1.0 for AS Roma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Como 45%, draw 22%, AS Roma 33%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: AS Roma to win at 3.50 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Como 1–0 AS Roma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Como45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
AS Roma33%fair 3.04 · @3.50
2.25Expected goals
1.25Como xG
1.00AS Roma xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Como 1.2 – 1.0 AS Roma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Como to win✓
45%
2.22
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Como / FT Como✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.61
–
Form
Como – last 3
DWD
3 Mar
vs Inter
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Juventus
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ AC Milan
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
AS Roma – last 4
DLWD
12 Mar
@ Bologna
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Genoa
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Cremonese
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Napoli
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Como and AS Roma.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Como vs AS Roma?
On our numbers Como have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AS Roma 33%.
How many goals will there be in Como vs AS Roma?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Como vs AS Roma?
Our predicted score is Como 1–0 AS Roma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Como vs AS Roma?
Como vs AS Roma (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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