Lithuania U21 vs Croatia U21 prediction & analysis
Croatia U21 to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lithuania U21 0.6 – 2.0 Croatia U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Croatia U21 travel as clear favourites – 71% to win, against 10% for Lithuania U21.
Lithuania U21 have taken 1 points from their last 2 matches (0W 1D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Croatia U21 have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Croatia U21 come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (0.6 for Lithuania U21, 2.0 for Croatia U21). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 0–2 (15%), 0–1 (15%), 0–3 (10%).
Our pick is Croatia U21 to win at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.41.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Croatia U21 to win ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.20 |
| Double chance | Croatia U21 or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Half-time result | Croatia U21 ahead at half-time ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Croatia U21 / FT Croatia U21 ✓ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✗ | 15% | 6.77 | – |
Form
Lithuania U21 – last 2
| 1 Oct | @ Hungary U21 | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Mar | @ Ukraine U21 | 1–1 | D |
Croatia U21 – last 6
| 2 Oct | @ Ukraine U21 | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Hungary U21 | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Jun | vs Republic of Ireland U21 | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Jun | vs Qatar U20 | 2–0 | W |
| 30 May | vs Greece U21 | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Mar | vs Turkey U21 | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lithuania U21 and Croatia U21.
UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Norway U21 | 10 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 |  Croatia U21 | 10 | +15 | 22 |
| 3 |  Finland U21 | 10 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Austria U21 | 10 | +9 | 16 |
| 5 |  Azerbaijan U21 | 10 | -12 | 7 |
| 6 |  Estonia U21 | 10 | -32 | 0 |
More UEFA U21 Championship Qualification predictions
League hub
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Scotland U212
Denmark U210
Belgium U210
Wales U211Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lithuania U21 vs Croatia U21?
Our pick is Croatia U21 to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lithuania U21 vs Croatia U21?
On our numbers Lithuania U21 have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Croatia U21 71%.
How many goals will there be in Lithuania U21 vs Croatia U21?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Lithuania U21 vs Croatia U21?
Lithuania U21 vs Croatia U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at LSC sporto kompleksas Druskininkai.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.