Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Hong Kong to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndia to win ✓37% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.93
India vs Hong Kong preview and prediction
The match
Hong Kong travel to Salt Lake Stadium in the Asian Cup Qualification on Tuesday 31 March (14:30 WAT) to face India.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for India and 1.1 for Hong Kong. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: India 37%, draw 25%, Hong Kong 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Hong Kong to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: India 1–1 Hong Kong. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
India37%fair 2.68 · @2.36
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.98
Hong Kong37%fair 2.68 · @3.00
2.14Expected goals
1.07India xG
1.07Hong Kong xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: India 1.1 – 1.1 Hong Kong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
India to win✓
37%
2.68
2.36
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
20%
4.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.93
–
Form
India
No recent results on record.
Hong Kong
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between India and Hong Kong.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win India vs Hong Kong?
On our numbers India have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hong Kong 37%.
How many goals will there be in India vs Hong Kong?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for India vs Hong Kong?
Our predicted score is India 1–1 Hong Kong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is India vs Hong Kong?
India vs Hong Kong (Asian Cup Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Salt Lake Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Singapore1
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Thailand2
Turkmenistan1
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