Chinese Taipei vs Sri Lanka prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Value bet: Sri Lanka to win @ 3.25 – our chance 39% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Chinese Taipei 1.4 – 1.5 Sri Lanka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Chinese Taipei and Sri Lanka on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.4 for Chinese Taipei, 1.5 for Sri Lanka). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.34. For a bigger price, Sri Lanka to win at 3.25 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sri Lanka to win ✓ | 39% | 2.53 | 3.25 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 2.00 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.42 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sri Lanka / FT Sri Lanka ✓ | 23% | 4.39 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.71 | – |
Form
Chinese Taipei
No recent results on record.
Sri Lanka
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chinese Taipei and Sri Lanka.
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What is the prediction for Chinese Taipei vs Sri Lanka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Chinese Taipei vs Sri Lanka?
On our numbers Chinese Taipei have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sri Lanka 39%.
How many goals will there be in Chinese Taipei vs Sri Lanka?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Chinese Taipei vs Sri Lanka?
Chinese Taipei vs Sri Lanka (Asian Cup Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Taipei Municipal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.