Thailand vs Turkmenistan prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Thailand 2.2 – 0.9 Turkmenistan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Thailand are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 11% for Turkmenistan.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.2 for Thailand, 0.9 for Turkmenistan). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.28. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.00 is our value angle (54% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Thailand to win ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | Thailand or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Thailand ahead at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Thailand / FT Thailand ✓ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.85 | – |
Form
Thailand
No recent results on record.
Turkmenistan
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thailand and Turkmenistan.
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What is the prediction for Thailand vs Turkmenistan?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Thailand vs Turkmenistan?
On our numbers Thailand have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Turkmenistan 11%.
How many goals will there be in Thailand vs Turkmenistan?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Thailand vs Turkmenistan?
Thailand vs Turkmenistan (Asian Cup Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Rajamangala Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.