Value bet: Philippines to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTajikistan to win ✗41% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Tajikistan vs Philippines preview and prediction
The match
Philippines travel to Pamir Stadium in the Asian Cup Qualification on Tuesday 31 March (15:00 WAT) to face Tajikistan.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Tajikistan and 1.4 for Philippines. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Value angle: Philippines to win at 3.40 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Tajikistan 1–1 Philippines. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tajikistan41%fair 2.43 · @2.08
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.15
Philippines35%fair 2.89 · @3.40
2.98Expected goals
1.57Tajikistan xG
1.42Philippines xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tajikistan 1.6 – 1.4 Philippines expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tajikistan to win✗
41%
2.43
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tajikistan / FT Tajikistan✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Form
Tajikistan
No recent results on record.
Philippines
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tajikistan and Philippines.
What is the prediction for Tajikistan vs Philippines?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Tajikistan vs Philippines?
On our numbers Tajikistan have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Philippines 35%.
How many goals will there be in Tajikistan vs Philippines?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tajikistan vs Philippines?
Our predicted score is Tajikistan 1–1 Philippines, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tajikistan vs Philippines?
Tajikistan vs Philippines (Asian Cup Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Pamir Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pakistan1
Myanmar2
Chinese Taipei1
Sri Lanka3
Singapore1
Bangladesh0
Vietnam3
Malaysia1
Nepal0
Laos1
Bhutan2
Brunei1
Thailand2
Turkmenistan1
India2
Hong Kong1